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Cycle-Position Indicator

Howard Marks framework: cycles dominate. At peaks consensus is bullish and the asymmetric move is defensive; at bottoms consensus is bearish and the asymmetric move is aggressive. Read 5 indicators, get a phase verdict + stance.

Market + Indicators

Market / situation
Be specific — 'US large-cap tech' or 'private real estate in Tampa' or 'venture capital'
Credit spreads
HY/IG bond spreads
Investor sentiment
VIX, surveys, narrative
IPO activity
Quality + volume
Valuation level
P/E, P/S, vs history
Risk appetite
Leverage, lending, behavior
Additional context (optional)